Risk Assessment - Lead


 

 

 

 

 


Risk Assessment Calculations
Exposure Reconstruction Case Study
Beach Reclamation (Lead)

By: Henry P. Shotwell,
Ph.D., CIH, Senior Vice-President, Atlantic Environmental, Inc.

 Facts:  A 6-month old infant and her mother took residence in a house located 60 feet away from a beach reclamation project that had been contaminated with metallic lead from industrial activity.  The house was in the path of continuous on-shore breezes that blew across the contaminated beach and left a thin layer of sandy dust on surfaces both inside and outside the house.  The condition lasted for at least 16 months. 

The toddler was observed standing in her crib and “chewing” on the crib’s side rails.  Because of colic and some delays in reaching development benchmarks, she was evaluated and found to have an elevated blood lead level.  Soil analysis showed the maximum level of lead to be 320 mcg/kg.  Was the lead content of the construction dust sufficient to elevate the child’s blood lead level? 

Approach: From soil data, estimate the amount of lead per unit mass of dust, given that dry, summertime conditions produce an average of about mg dust (from soil) per cubic meter of air.  Then, given the distance between the house and the construction site, calculate the mass of lead likely to plate out on the baby’s crib from the amount in the air, using Stoke’s equation and a continuous, 24-hour/day deposition rate.  Compare to threshold of 10 mcg Pb/dL blood for infantile lead poisoning.  

Calculations 

  1. Soil to Air

    The highest concentration of lead in beach soil (sand) was reported to be (5,200) micrograms per kilogram of soil.  This is equivalent to micrograms of lead per milligram of soil.  Given that the average concentration of dust in the are was 3 mg/M3 air, the worst-case airborne lead level would be 0.0156 micrograms Pb/M3 air.
  2. Deposition from Air
    According to Stoke’s Law, (Vs = 0.003SGd2, where Vs = settling velocity in cm/sec., SG = specific gravity and d is the average particle diameter), particles of sand (average SG = 1.6; average diameter = 5 microns).  Lead-contaminated sand particles, carried from the beach would settle out at a rate of 2.8 inches per minute.  Given a ceiling height of 7.5 feet and an average height from the floor to the top of the crib side-bar of 4 feet, a settling distance of 3.5 feet would require 15 minutes to form a layer of dust on the crib surface.  The fact that the contaminated sand generates an average of 0.0156 mcg Pb/M3 air and the fact that lead was being continuously deposited was sufficient to convince a jury that the child’s lead poisoning was directly attributable to the reclamation activity on the beach.

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